"There’s no doubt that our world faces complex challenges, from a warming climate to violent uprisings to political instability to outbreaks of disease. The number of these crises currently unfolding – in combination with persistent economic uncertainty – has led many leaders to lament the rise of volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. Resilience and adaptability, it seems, are our only recourse.
But what if such destabilizing events could be predicted ahead of time? What actions could leaders take if early warning signs are easier to spot? Just this decade, we have finally reached the critical amount of data and computer power needed to create such tools.
“What is history? An echo of the past in the future,” wrote Victor Hugo in The Man Who Laughs. Although future events have unique circumstances, they typically follow familiar past patterns. Advances in computing, data storage, and data science algorithms allow those patterns to be seen."